Figure 1: Top left: 15-day mean of daily maximum temperature (Tmax) for 15-29 April, 2026. The study region is outlined in blue, with locations with reported deaths highlighted with yellow circles and locations exceeding 40℃ shown as red triangles. Top right: Temperature anomaly associated with the same event, relative to a climatological mean derived from 15-day mean of Tmax averaged over all days of April during 1991-2020 period. Bottom left: Evolution of 15-day running mean of Tmax, area-averaged over the study region. The red lines show the interannual variability for the duration over which CPC records are available i.e. 1979-2026. The black line highlights the 2026 trajectory. The 15-day event ending on 29 April 2026 (shown by dotted black line) is the highest since the beginning of the year. Bottom right: same as (bottom left), but for daily TMax area-averaged over the study region. The black dashed line highlights the hottest peak, which occurred on 25 April 2026.

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