Figure 2: Left: Locations of simulated (no outline) and observed (black outline) landfall events in the vicinity (2 degree radius) of Milton landfall. Right: Landfall wind speed vs return period for the vicinity (2 degree radius) of Milton landfall as calculated for the current climate “2024” (orange line), pre-industrial (blue line) and the observed climatology (black line). Shading indicates the uncertainty of the model based on individual 124 year simulations out of a total of 10,000 simulation years. FAR is the Fractional Attributable Risk of landfall with a maximum wind speed of 54 m/s.

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