Event papers

While rapid attribution studies are published before peer review in order to release the results soon after events have taken place, many World Weather Attribution studies are subsequently published in peer-reviewed journals. These are given below. 

Download the peer reviewed study: Tradowsky, J.S et al. (2023) Attribution of the heavy rainfall events leading to severe flooding in Western Europe during July 2021. Climatic Change 176, 90. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-023-03502-7

Otto, F.E.L et al. (2023) Climate change increased extreme monsoon rainfall, flooding highly vulnerable communities in Pakistan. Environmental Research: Climate. doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/acbfd5

Vautard, R et al. (2023) Human influence on growing-period frosts like in early April 2021 in central France. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1045-2023

Philip, S.Y (2022) Rapid attribution analysis of the extraordinary heat wave on the Pacific coast of the US and Canada in June 2021. Earth System Dynamics. doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-13-1689-2022

Li, S. and Otto, F.E.L. (2022) The role of human-induced climate change in heavy rainfall events such as the one associated with Typhoon Hagibis. Climatic Change, 172: 7. doi: 10.1007/s10584-022-03344-9

Harrington, L.J et al. (2022) Limited role of climate change in extreme low rainfall associated with southern Madagascar food insecurity, 2019–21. Environmental Research: Climate. doi: 10.1088/2752-5295/aca695

Luu, L.N et al. (2021) Attribution of typhoon-induced torrential precipitation in Central Vietnam, October 2020. Climatic Change, 169: 24. doi: 10.1007/s10584-021-03261-3

Ciavarella, A et al. (2021) Prolonged Siberian heat of 2020 almost impossible without human influence. Climatic Change. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03052-w

Vautard, R et al. (2019) Human influence on European winter wind storms such as those of January 2018. Earth System Dynamics. doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-10-271-2019

Philip, S.Y et al. (2018) Attribution Analysis of the Ethiopian Drought of 2015. Journal of Climate. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0274.1

Philip, S.Y et al. (2018) Validation of a Rapid Attribution of the May/June 2016 Flood-Inducing Precipitation in France to Climate Change. Journal of Hydrometeorology. doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0074.1 

Otto, F.E.L et al. (2018)  Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains like those of storm Desmond in the UK – an event attribution study in near-real time. Environmental Research Letters. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9663

Kew, S.F et al. (2018) The exceptional summer heatwave in southern Europe 2017. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0109.1

van Oldenborgh, G.J et al. (2018) Extreme heat in India and anthropogenic climate change. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences. doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-365-2018

van der Wiel, K et al. (2017) Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21: 897-921. doi: 10.5194/hess-21-897-2017

van Oldenborgh, G.J et al. (2017) Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017. Environmental Research Letters, 12: 124009. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa9ef2

Uhe, P et al. (2017) Attributing drivers of the 2016 Kenyan drought. International Journal of Climatology. doi: 10.1002/joc.5389

Uhe, P et al. (2016) Comparison of methods: Attributing the 2014 record European temperatures to human influences. Geophysical Research Letters. doi: 10.1002/2016GL069568

Sippel, S et al. (2016) The role of anthropogenic warming in 2015 central European heat waves. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0149

Otto, F.E.L et. al. (2016) Factors other than climate change, main drivers of 2014/15 water shortage in south east Brazil. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (12): 51–56. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00120.1

van Oldenborgh, G.J et al. (2016) The heavy precipitation event of December 2015 in Chennai, India. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12): 87–91.  doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0129.1