Rainbow at Baringo Lake

Devastating rains in Kenya, 2018

Devastating seasonal rains in Kenya have been reported to have displaced nearly 300,000 people and killed 158. Other countries in the region such as Rwanda and Somalia have also been seriously affected.

The World Weather Attribution team have begun analysing the unusually intense rainfall in Kenya to determine whether climate change played a role.

The new study centres on an area of the country where rainfall has been unusually heavy and for which good meteorological data is available, but it may also offer insights into conditions further afield regionally.

A year ago we released a detailed study of the Kenyan drought, which found no detectable influence of climate change on rainfall, although not excluding small changes in the risk of poor rains linked to climate change.

The current study will be the first of its kind into intense rainfall in East Africa.